What is a narrative score

A narrative score is a single number that reflects how reliably a channel calls tokens early and accurately. It is not based on follower count, self-reported wins, or how long the channel has been around. It is based entirely on verified call outcomes measured against on-chain price data.

Here is how the data pipeline works:

  • Crow's Nest tracks every token address posted by every tracked channel
  • After 7 or more days, each call's outcome is checked via DexScreener — did the token 2x, 5x, rug, or go sideways?
  • Those outcomes feed back into the channel's score across four components
  • Scores are recalculated every Sunday with the latest outcome data

The result is a score that reflects actual performance over time — not what a caller says about themselves, but what their calls actually did.

Scores update weekly

Crow's Nest recalculates all channel scores every Sunday. New call outcomes from the prior week are incorporated, and rankings update accordingly. If you made strong calls this week, your score reflects it by Monday.

The four scoring components

The overall score is a weighted composite of four independent signals. Each one captures a different dimension of call quality. A channel that games one component — say, posting a massive volume of calls to boost Consistency — will be punished on Precision. The weights are calibrated to reward actual alpha over noise.

Accuracy
35%
Percentage of calls that hit 1.5x and 2x from call price. The primary signal of call quality — did the token actually move?
Returns
30%
Average peak return across all calls. Rewards channels that find high-conviction plays, not just frequent small wins.
Precision
20%
Signal-to-noise ratio. Channels that post fewer, higher-quality calls score better than channels that spam calls hoping some land.
Consistency
15%
Call volume and hit rate stability over time. One great month and three bad ones scores lower than steady, reliable performance.
Component Weight What it measures What tanks it
Accuracy 35% % of calls hitting 1.5x and 2x Low-conviction calls that don't move
Returns 30% Average peak return across all calls Rugs and large drawdowns
Precision 20% Calls per week vs hit rate ratio High-volume, low-accuracy spam
Consistency 15% Stability of hit rate over time Wild swings between good and bad months

The confidence adjustment

Raw component scores are adjusted by a confidence multiplier based on total call volume. A channel with 5 calls that all 10x would have a perfect raw score — but five calls is not enough data to distinguish luck from skill.

The confidence adjustment works as follows:

  • Channels with fewer than 50 verified calls receive a confidence penalty that scales down their score
  • At 50 calls, the penalty phases out and the score reflects full component weights
  • This prevents a channel from gaming the leaderboard with a handful of lucky early calls
  • As call volume grows, the score converges to true performance — high-volume channels with consistent accuracy end up with the highest absolute scores
Why this matters for new channels

If you are newly listed and your score seems low relative to your recent calls, the confidence adjustment is likely the reason. The fix is not to post more calls — it is to post accurate calls consistently until the volume threshold is crossed. Quality over quantity is the correct strategy at every stage.

Tier system

Scores map to six tiers. Tiers determine the badge displayed on your Crow's Nest profile and carry different levels of subscriber trust. Advancing through tiers requires sustained performance — a single strong week will not move you up, and a single bad week will not move you down.

Tier Score range What it means
⚜️ Admiral 80 – 100 Top 1% of all tracked channels. Sustained, proven track record over significant call volume. Highest subscriber trust.
⚓ Captain 50 – 79 Strong, consistent performers. Above-market accuracy and returns. Commands premium pricing on Spoils.
🧭 Navigator 30 – 49 Developing track record. Positive signal, not yet enough volume or consistency for higher tier.
⛵ Sailor 15 – 29 Early stage. Score is building. Confidence adjustment likely still active.
🪝 Deckhand < 15 Insufficient data to score reliably. Listed but no meaningful ranking signal yet.
🏴 Castaway Excluded or flagged. Channel is removed from rankings due to manipulation, coordinated pumping, or rule violations.

How to improve your score

The scoring system is designed so that the only reliable path to a higher score is calling better. There is no shortcut. That said, understanding what the system rewards tells you where to focus.

Call quality over quantity

Accuracy is 35% of the score and Precision is 20% — together they represent over half the total weight. A channel that posts 3 calls per week with a 70% hit rate scores significantly higher than one posting 20 calls per week with a 30% hit rate. If you are unsure about a call, not posting it is the correct move.

Early calls score higher than late pile-ons

Returns are measured from the price at the time of the call, not from an arbitrary baseline. A call posted when a token is at $0.001 that reaches $0.005 is a 5x. The same token called at $0.003 is a 1.6x. Calling early is not just good for your subscribers — it is directly rewarded in the scoring model.

Consistency matters more than one big win

The Consistency component penalizes variance. A channel that had one extraordinary month followed by three flat months ends up with a lower score than a channel that maintained steady 40–50% hit rates the entire time. Building a track record means showing up every week, not just finding one moonshot.

Avoiding spam keeps Precision high

Precision measures how many of your calls are worth following relative to how many you post. Channels that flood their feed with low-confidence calls — hoping volume produces a few winners — are penalized specifically because that behavior is harmful to subscribers. A high-Precision channel earns its audience's trust on every post.

What your score means for monetization

Your Crow's Nest score is public, verifiable, and directly linked to your Spoils listing if you have one. This creates a meaningful connection between call performance and earning potential that didn't exist before on-chain scoring.

  • Higher score = more subscriber trust — potential members can verify your track record before paying, which removes the skepticism that kills conversions for unverified callers
  • Captains and Admirals command premium pricing — a verified Captain-tier channel can charge $50–100/month in a market where unverified channels struggle to hold $25/month
  • Your tier badge appears on your Spoils listing — verified performance is displayed directly where subscribers make the decision to pay
  • Score trajectory matters too — a Sailor moving toward Navigator with a rising score is often more compelling to early subscribers than a flat Captain
Claim your profile

If your channel is already being tracked on Crow's Nest, you can claim your profile and link it to your Spoils listing. See the guide to getting ranked for the full process.